If you have been gambling hockey this year, you noticed that OVERs were cashing in a ridiculous rate from the early going. That trend has levelled off since most teams seem to have found their bearings. The Philadelphia Flyers have not.
They have cashed 11 OVERs within their 16 matches and have just two UNDERs. Their games have had by far the maximum average of complete goals as they’ve scored the second-most from the league and are tied with the Calgary Flames for permitting the most.
If you had tossed $100 on each Flyers’ OVER this season, it would have profited you just seven $100 bills but watch out for high total matchups as I’ve even cashed a few complete props of OVER 6.5 as well as an OVER 7.5 when they played the Leafs past Friday.
I don’t expect this trend changing. Their goaltending and defense have been awful, and they just lost Michal Neuvirth for an elongated period and were forced to call up Anthony Stolarz out of Lehigh Valley from the AHL. Additionally, they play in the highest-scoring branch in hockey and the Flyers can flat out score.
A surprising tendency within the OVER fad is the O/U is 10-2 when Philly’s games have closed using a total of 5.5 and is 1-1-2 when they have closed . What this means is that if the Flyers are getting totals of 5.5, Vegas is pretty damn sure their games will have goals.
I suggest riding this OVER if the total is 5.5 or the Flyers are up against some other team in the bottom half of targets given up per game.
With that information, you are going to want to consider that OVER when they go up from the Winnipeg Jets on Thursday. The Jets have given up the fifth-most goals in the league and with both teams’ offenses clicking, we could see a replica of the match in 2011 that led to a 9-8 Jets’ win.
Maybe keep on the lookout for your ol’ OVER 16.5. I am naturally kidding but I’ll be making a big bet on the OVER 5.5 and that I shall be on the watch for props offering bigger totals.
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